Monday Sep 21

Locals Blocked $68B Of Data Centers

21SEP
49 STATESLOCALSDATA CENTER

The bottleneck on AI is not chips. It is the county board. Forty-five US builds worth $68 billion were stopped or stalled in one quarter by neighbors who showed up.

Data Center Watch, a project of research firm 10a Labs, counts 843 opposition groups. That is up from 142 groups in 24 states in its 2025 report. Only Hawaii has no organized resistance.

The first quarter of 2026 was worse: 75 projects worth $130 billion. Around 30 statehouses have moved on siting, power or water rules. Two thirds of Americans oppose a data center near them, per YouGov.

Governors are moving too. Virginia's Abigail Spanberger signed an order Friday banning NDAs and limiting fast-track permits for large sites. New York and Pennsylvania put conditions on big builds this summer. Opposition is bipartisan.

full brief & sources

⚡ Why this matters

  • Every AI roadmap assumes compute arrives on schedule. Local permits are now the schedule risk nobody models.
  • The opposition is bipartisan. In the 2025 report, 55% of officials opposing projects were Republicans.
  • Tax revenue is real too: Loudoun County took about $1.2 billion from data centers this fiscal year. Communities are weighing both sides.

🔍 What happened

  • Data Center Watch published its second-quarter 2026 report on September 21. Bloomberg covered the numbers the same day.
  • 45 projects worth about $68 billion were blocked or delayed between April and June, more than half of the large developments it tracked.
  • First quarter of 2026: 75 projects worth $130 billion.
  • 843 opposition groups across 49 states. About 30 state legislatures introduced or adopted siting, power or water rules.
  • Common complaints: grid demand, water use, noise, land, and nondisclosure agreements in project negotiations.
  • Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger signed an executive order on September 18 banning NDAs, requiring local approval above 25 megawatts, and tightening water and emissions rules.

💬 Smart takes

  • Abigail Spanberger, Virginia Governor: "datacenters came to Virginia and the Commonwealth did not have a clear or coordinated plan to address their impacts on Virginians... That changes today."
  • Data Center Watch: notes similar campaigns in Europe, Australia and South Africa, and that only Hawaii lacks an organized group.
  • Skeptic: delayed is not dead. Most of these projects move to a friendlier county or wait out a moratorium, and hyperscaler capex plans have not moved.

🧭 Where this goes

  1. Likelymore governors copy the Virginia template of NDA bans and local approval thresholds before the midterms.
  2. Likelydevelopers shift to sites with on-site power and closed-loop cooling to shorten fights.
  3. Possiblea federal preemption push, framed as a China race, tries to override local siting rules.
  4. Wild Carda hyperscaler publicly cuts its US capex guidance and cites permitting, not demand.

🥄 The Spoon Take

Chips, power, money: the industry has a plan for each. It has no plan for a county meeting. This quarter says the constraint is now consent, and consent does not scale with capex. The builders who win the next five years will be the ones who show up early and sign fewer NDAs.

🤔 Pushback

Hyperscalers have not cut a dollar of capex, and a moratorium in one county is a groundbreaking in the next.